Sadly, he's not going to be the nominee. He's dropped into (I believe) fifth place among those who have announced or have exploratory committees.

Not that the rest of the GOP field isn't in some way batshit insane. Even if they don't buy their own moronic rhetoric, the fact that they have to spew such nonsense to appeal to the Tea Partiers pretty much clinches their failure in 2012.

1) Polls this far out are fairly useless. And even reliable pools don't change the fact that in most Presidential primaries there are events that will fundamentally alter the race in ways that can't be predicted. It is only after that we frame events into an 'obvious' narrative.
2) Crazy shit in the primaries is often ignored. Presidential candidates in the general are known to completely reverse their positions, and the base they previously pandered to will march in step, now that they have an opponent they know is worse.
3) Yeah, you're probably right.

pools = polls. I'd blame spellcheck, but really I need to start proofreading. I sent an email to a client yesterday that said "cock" instead of "lock". The context didn't help.

Crazy shit used to be ignored; if you look at actual bills being passed at the state and federal level, the crazy is now policy.

Except that by April, 2007, Hilary and Obama were pretty much both in full fundraising gear. Romney has less than two million in the PAC right now, and he's a millionaire himself. Something is horribly wrong with this party.

To review...the current field of declared and speculative Gop presidential candidates;

Bachmann (not pretty enough, gaffe-prone)
Cain (weird, black)
Daniels (unnoticeable)
Huckabee (not committed)
Huntsman (worked in Obama administration)
Palin (dumb, scandal-plagued, plummeting poll numbers)
Paul (too fringe, not Christian enough)
Pawlenty (dull, once supported cap-and-trade)
Romney (Mormon, Romneycare)
Santorum (dumb, worthless)
Trump (an army of skeletons in the closet, plummeting popularity)

...and now, The Marrying Man, who once had all the Republican support in the world and blew it, Newt.

I don't think it matters anyway, at this point the odds of anyone beating Obama are like ten to one, no matter who his opponent is. So, no one with any real ambition is going to join the fray until 2016.

Thus, one of the above people will almost certainly win the nomination. This election is going to be a landslide like 1984.

As soon as we do what we ask them to do, KILL MEDICARE.

I'd be happy with a 20 year moratorium, frankly.

This, this right here.

GINGRICH 2012: LET'S DOMINATE THE WRECKAGE

I would actually consider voting for him if he took that tagline and ran with it.

I have bad news

When they're just heads kept alive in jars, they will still have voting rights.

>>Who am I missing?

RON PAUL! RON PAUL! RON PAUL! RON PAUL!


Seriously, this could be his year. He's polling well, and is considerably less loathesome than the others.

Sure. And when he says "I support creationism and abortions, and oppose medicare and the military" he's sure to be swept in.

Mitch Daniels and Jon Huntsman. One of these two will probably be the Republican nominee.

At least, they stand a better chance than Chubby McDivorce and Hairpiece McDumbass.

Herman Cain's pizza is shitty.

Hmmm. My Ron Paul comment doesn't seem as ironic as I intended.

The birthers just want to help Obama by showing that he is a beltway outsider.

stolen from Alex Knapp btw

Give these stars to Alex when you see him, Os!